Trump wins the Republican presidential caucuses in Iowa, AP projects
The caucuses kicked off just 30 minutes ago, but the Associated Press has already made its call for Donald Trump.
There’s no surprise – Trump has been by far the frontrunner. Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis are in a high-stakes fight for second place. How big Trump’s victory is, and how closely behind Haley and DeSantis trail could set the tone for how the rest of the primaries pan out.
Key events
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Ron DeSantis cinches second place, AP projects
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Vivek Ramaswamy drops out
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Trump speaks in Des Moines
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Economy, border, foreign policy: key issues for Iowans
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DeSantis campaign complains about vote call for Trump
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Trump campaign celebrating win
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Trump wins the Republican presidential caucuses in Iowa, AP projects
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Donald Trump Jr asked if he would run in 2028
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Caucuses in Iowa kick off
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Donald Trump meets campaign advisers in Des Moines
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Summary of Iowa caucuses before voting begins…
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Donald Trump Jr urges Iowa voters to show up for Trump despite cold
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Kamala Harris warns of Republicans posing ‘profound threat’ to freedoms
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Republican candidates espousing extremist ideas, Illinois governor tells Iowa Democratic event
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What is a precinct captain – and what do they do?
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‘Don’t believe the fake news’: Haley hits back at Trump’s attacks
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Summary of Iowa caucuses day so far
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Economy, border, foreign policy: key issues as Iowans head to caucus
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Trump steps up attacks against Haley and DeSantis on morning of Iowa caucuses
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Lloyd Austin released from hospital, says Pentagon
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How will Iowa shape the 2024 US election?
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Explainer: What are the Iowa caucuses?
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Trump, Haley, DeSantis in big test in freezing Iowa
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Trump holds dominant lead ahead of Iowa caucuses, poll finds
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Iowans told to ‘limit outdoor exposure’ as the ‘dangerous cold’ sweeps the state
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Biden and the Democrats raise $97m to close out 2023
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Trump forecast to get nearly 50% of vote in final Iowa poll as brutal cold grips state
When he arrived on stage to chants of “Ron, Ron, Ron”, Ron DeSantis cast the night as a successful stand against an array of forces his enemies had deployed against him.
“They threw everything but the kitchen sink at us,” he said, pointing to his opponents’ spending on ads targeting him, and negative coverage his campaign received from news outlets.
“But they were just so excited about the fact that they were predicting that we wouldn’t be able to get our ticket punched here out of Iowa. But, I can tell you because of your support, in spite of all of that, that they threw at us — everyone against us — we’ve got our ticket punched out of Iowa.”
Finishing second in the state is the best result DeSantis could realistically hope for, and will keep his campaign alive going into New Hampshire’s primary on 23 January. However, it’s unclear if he can replicate that result in the Granite State, where Nikki Haley has seen a polling surge recently that may have put her within striking distance of Trump.
Here’s a striking visual from NBC election tabulator Steve Kornacki, who points out that Donald Trump has virtually accomplished a sweep of Iowa’s 99 counties.
Nikki Haley addressed her supporters as well, thanking Iowans, who she called “faithful and patriotic Americans”.
“I can safely say, tonight Iowa safely made this Republican primary a two person race,” she said. “The question before Americans now is very clear – do you want more of the same, or do you want a new generation of conservative leadership.
Haley appears to be referencing to a race between her and Trump – but her path ahead after sliding into a distant third tonight remains unclear.
“Our campaign is the last best hope of stopping the Trump-Biden nightmare,” she said.
“They threw everything but the kitchen sink at us,” said Ron DeSantis, speaking to supporters in Des Moines.
After all the time and funds his campaign poured into Iowa, his performance tonight will be a disappointment. But his candidacy has survived to fight another day. “We’ve got our ticket punched out of Iowa,” he said.
Ron DeSantis cinches second place, AP projects
The Florida governor has finished a “distant second” to Donald Trump, the Associated Press projects. Nikki Haley is expected to come third.
Vivek Ramaswamy drops out
“There’s no path for me to be the next president absent things that we don’t want to see happen in this country,” Vivek Ramaswamy told supporters in Des Moines.
He reflected on his candidacy. “Nobody knew who we were, nobody knew what we were up to, but together, we have created a movement that I think is going to carry our nation to the next level,” he says.
He endorsed Donald Trump for the presidency.
Chris Stein
Ron DeSantis’s watch party is getting underway, with social conservative activist Bob Vander Plaats pitching the Florida governor as the right candidate to beat Joe Biden.
“Now we will have a real fight between whether or not we’re going to return to someone who has proven all he knows how to do is lose to Democrats. Him and his candidates, for the last three cycles, that’s all they’ve done. For the rest of the country, tired of losing to these guys, let’s go with the guy who beat them and that is Ron DeSantis,” Vander Plaats said.
Eline Gordts
Nearly two-thirds of Iowa Republicans polled while entering the caucuses on Monday evening by Edison Research said they did not believe Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 election.
A majority of the 1,577 caucus-goers the firm questioned said Donald Trump would be fit to return to the presidency even if he were convicted of a crime. And nearly half of the respondents said they considered themselves part of Trump’s MAGA movement.
The results underline Trump’s hold on the Republican party in Iowa.
Here’s more from Reuters on the results:
Following are highlights from the Edison Research poll based on interviews with 1,577 Iowa Republicans. The results will be updated as more interviews are collected.
* 65% said they did not think Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020.
* 64% said they decided who to support in the presidential nomination contest before this month.
* 63% said Trump would still be fit to be president if he were convicted of a crime. 32% said he would be unfit if convicted.
* 59% said they favor a federal law that would ban abortions nationwide.
* 51% of white caucus-goers who considered themselves evangelical or born-again Christians supported Trump, while 29% backed DeSantis.
* 44% of voters said they considered themselves part of the MAGA movement, a reference to Trump’s Make America Great Again slogan. 51% said they were not part of that movement.
* Trump led Haley and DeSantis by double digits among men and women alike. But among college graduates Trump was preferred by about 36% of caucus-goers, compared to 30% for Haley and 27% for DeSantis.
* 37% percent of caucus-goers said the economy was the issue that mattered most in deciding who to vote for on Monday, compared to 34% who cited immigration, while the rest cited foreign policy or abortion.
* 14% said the most important quality a Republican presidential nominee should have is the ability to beat Biden, compared to 41% who said shared values mattered most.
Edison Research conducted the poll on behalf of the National Election Pool, a consortium of news organizations including Reuters.
Vivek Ramaswamy is dropping out of the race, per multiple reports.
It’s unclear who he’ll endorse once he’s out.
Donald Trump is still talking, and after he delivered a few likely planned lines on unity, he’s started improvising, as he’s wont to.
Calling for law and order, the former president referenced the defacement of the Capitol on January 6.
He also boasted about polling showing that the majority of caucusgoers questioned the 2020 election results.
Chris Stein
Ron DeSantis’s caucus night watch party is taking place at a Sheraton hotel in West Des Moines.
A ballroom packed with supporters, reporters and children is waiting for the Florida governor, but there’s no sign of him yet. Perhaps he’s waiting to find out for sure whether he finished in second or third.
If it’s the latter, many believe it would be a crushing blow to his campaign’s viability. But with a second place finish, he could make the case to supporters that he has a path forward in New Hampshire, the next state to vote in the GOP nomination process.
An estimated 100,000 voters participated in the caucus today, according to the Iowa Republican Party chairman, Jeff Kaufmann.
That’s far short of the 187,000 Republicans who caucused in 2016.
That’s lower than the 2016 caucus, when